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Table 1 Oropharyngeal cancer risk categories

From: CompARE: study protocol for a phase III randomised controlled platform trial comparing alternative regimens for escalating treatment of intermediate and high-risk oropharyngeal cancer

Risk group

Definition

3-year OS (95% CI)

3-year LRC rate

UK incidence: proportion of OPC cases

Projected no. per year

Low-risk

HPV+ve non-smokers (or smoke < 10 pack years) with small nodal disease (N0–N2a) and T1–3 tumours

93% (88.3–97.7)

90.4

33%

596

Intermediate-risk

HPV+ve with advanced nodal disease (N2b/c, N3) and > 10 pack year smoking or T4 tumour

HPV-ve non-smokers with T1–3 tumours

70.8% (60.7–80.8)

80.9

47%

829

High-risk

HPV-ve smoking associated with T4 tumour

46% (34.7–57.7)

57.3

20%

343

  1. CI Confidence interval, HPV Human papillomavirus, LRC Loco-regional control, OPC Oropharyngeal cancer, OS Overall survival