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Table 3 Proportion of treatment effects within ± 0.1 of the true value, for different values of the true treatment effect (β1) and of sample size, with a strong confounder effect (β2 =  − 1): unadjusted for confounder, adjusted in sample-based model, and adjusted in true model

From: Adjustment for baseline characteristics in randomized trials using logistic regression: sample-based model versus true model

Sample size

Unadjusted analysis

Adjusted, sample-based model

Adjusted, true model

Unadjusted analysis

Adjusted, sample-based model

Adjusted, true model

 

Treatment effect β1 = 0, continuous confounder

Treatment effect β1 = 0, binary confounder

2 × 50

0.23

0.19

0.19

0.24

0.19

0.19

2 × 100

0.28

0.27

0.27

0.27

0.26

0.26

2 × 200

0.34

0.37

0.37

0.35

0.37

0.37

2 × 500

0.57

0.56

0.56

0.58

0.56

0.56

2 × 1000

0.73

0.73

0.73

0.73

0.72

0.72

 

Treatment effect β1 = 0.5, continuous confounder

Treatment effect β1 = 0.5, binary confounder

2 × 50

0.23

0.18

0.19

0.24

0.19

0.19

2 × 100

0.28

0.27

0.27

0.28

0.27

0.27

2 × 200

0.38

0.37

0.37

0.38

0.37

0.37

2 × 500

0.55

0.55

0.55

0.57

0.56

0.56

2 × 1000

0.71

0.72

0.72

0.72

0.72

0.72

 

Treatment effect β1 = 1, continuous confounder

Treatment effect β1 = 1, binary confounder

2 × 50

0.18

0.17

0.18

0.19

0.18

0.18

2 × 100

0.26

0.25

0.25

0.26

0.26

0.26

2 × 200

0.35

0.35

0.36

0.36

0.36

0.36

2 × 500

0.53

0.53

0.54

0.52

0.54

0.54

2 × 1000

0.66

0.70

0.70

0.66

0.70

0.71