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Table 2 Hypothetical data for some example patients using a treatment threshold (T) of 5%.

From: Method for evaluating prediction models that apply the results of randomized trials to individual patients

ID Group Event Predicted risk if treated Predicted risk if not treated Risk reduction from treatment (Di) Treat?
1 Treatment 1 0.309 0.328 0.020 0
2 Control 0 0.352 0.396 0.045 0
3 Treatment 0 0.474 0.586 0.112 1
4 Control 1 0.219 0.350 0.132 1
5 Treatment 1 0.559 0.704 0.145 1
6 Control 1 0.360 0.409 0.049 0
7 Treatment 0 0.690 0.884 0.194 1
8 Control 1 0.406 0.477 0.071 1
  1. The patients in bold are those whose treatment allocation is congruent with the recommendation of the prediction model at a T of 5%. Data from these patients would be used to calculate the outcome of decisions made by prediction modelling.