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Table 2 Meta-analysis results for ICH and reinfarction from a Bayesian model and the original frequentist approach

From: Meta-analysis of randomized phase II trials to inform subsequent phase III decisions

Outcome

Summary OR

95% CrI/CI for summary OR

Ï„ ^ (95% CrI)

Probability summary OR <1

Probability true OR <1 in new trial

ICH

     

Bayesian

0.485

0.155 – 1.266

0.660 (0.043 – 1.914)

0.937

0.824

Original

0.552

0.287 – 1.063

-

-

-

Reinfarction

     

Bayesian

0.773

0.502 – 1.179

0.276 (0.013 – 0.929)

0.901

0.787

Original

0.779

0.568 – 1.066

-

-

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