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Table 1 Summary of the ASPREE trial results for five endpoints using regression-based modelling approaches assuming PH or allowing for TD treatment effects

From: Examining evidence of time-dependent treatment effects: an illustration using regression methods

Endpoint

Estimation

HR (95% CI), p-value

Estimation

\(\Delta\)RMST (95% CI), p-value

 

model

 

Model

 

Primary

Cox PH

1.01 (0.92,1.11), 0.79

FPM PH

− 0.006 (− 0.047, 0.035), 0.79

 

Weibull PH

1.01 (0.92,1.11), 0.79

FPM TD

− 0.005 (− 0.046, 0.036), 0.81

 

FPM PH

1.01 (0.92,1.11), 0.79

GLM p-obs

− 0.007 (− 0.049, 0.035), 0.75

MACE

Cox PH

0.89 (0.77,1.03), 0.12

FPM PH

0.021 (− 0.006, 0.049), 0.13

 

Weibull PH

0.89 (0.77,1.03) 0.12

FPM TD

0.021 (− 0.006, 0.048), 0.12

 

FPM PH

0.89 (0.77,1.03), 0.12

GLM p-obs

0.021 (− 0.008, 0.050), 0.16

Clinically

Cox PH

1.38 (1.18,1.62), \(<0.001\)

FPM PH

− 0.050 (− 0.075, − 0.026), \(<0.001\)

significant

Weibull PH

1.38 (1.18,1.62), \(<0.001\)

FPM TD

− 0.052 (− 0.077, − 0.027), \(<0.001\)

bleeding

FPM PH

1.38 (1.18,1.62), \(<0.001\)

GLM p-obs

− 0.057 (− 0.084, − 0.029), \(<0.001\)

Cancer

Cox PH

1.05 (0.95,1.15), 0.32

FPM PH

− 0.020 (− 0.059, 0.019), 0.32

incidence

Weibull PH

1.05 (0.95,1.15), 0.32

FPM TD

− 0.018 (− 0.058, 0.021), 0.36

 

FPM PH

1.05 (0.95,1.15), 0.32

GLM p-obs

− 0.024 (− 0.068, 0.020), 0.29

Cancer

Cox PH

1.36 (1.13,1.63), 0.001

FPM PH

− 0.032 (− 0.047, − 0.013), 0.001

mortality

Weibull PH

1.36 (1.13,1.63), 0.001

FPM TD

− 0.029 (− 0.048, − 0.010), 0.003

 

FPM PH

1.36 (1.13,1.63), 0.001

GLM p-obs

− 0.033 (− 0.055, − 0.012), 0.003