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Table 1 Independent predictors of risk for PPCs identified in the logistic regression model (ARISCAT score)

From: Intraoperative immunomodulatory effects of sevoflurane versus total intravenous anesthesia with propofol in bariatric surgery (the OBESITA trial): study protocol for a randomized controlled pilot trial

 

Multivariate analysis

OR (95% CI)

n = 1.624*

β

Risk scorea

Age, years

  ≤ 50

1

  

 51–80

1.4 (0.6–3.3)

0.331

3

  > 80

5.1 (1.9–13.3)

1.619

16

Preoperative SpO2, %

  ≥ 96

1

  

 91–95

2.2 (1.2–4.2)

0.802

8

  ≤ 90

10.7 (4.1–28.1)

2.375

24

RTI in preceding month

5.5 (2.6–11.5)

1.698

17

Preoperative anemia (Hb ≤ 10 g/dL)

3.0 (1.4–6.5)

1.105

11

Surgical incision

 Peripheral

1

  

 Upper abdomen

4.4 (2.3–8.5)

1.480

15

 Intrathoracic

11.4 (4.9–26.0)

2.431

24

Duration of surgery, hours

  ≤ 2

1

  

  > 2–3

4.9 (2.4–10.1)

1.593

16

  > 3

9.7 (4.7–19.9)

2.268

23

Emergency procedure

2.2 (1.0–4.5)

0.768

8

  1. Three patients were excluded because of a missing value for some variables. Logistic regression model constructed with the development subsample, c-index = 0.90; Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square test = 7.862; P = 0.447
  2. CI confidence interval, Hb hemoglobin, OR odds ratio, PPC postoperative pulmonary complications, RTI respiratory tract infection, SpO2 oxyhemoglobin saturation by pulse oximetry (breathing room air in the supine position)
  3. aSimplified risk score was the sum of each logistic regression coefficient (β) multiplied by 10, after rounding off