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Table 7 Sample scenarios assuming uniform priors p(π 1) and p(π 2) where \(\tau _{1}^{2}=\tau _{2}^{2}\). Hypothesized values of π 1 and π 2 set equal to μ 1 and μ 2, respectively, under the traditional design. Two-sided α=0.05 and 1−β=0.80 assumed

From: Sample size determination for a binary response in a superiority clinical trial using a hybrid classical and Bayesian procedure

  

Traditional design

CEP design

 

(μ 1,μ 2)

\(\tau _{1}^{2}=\tau _{2}^{2}\)

\(\hat {N}\)

Performance

CEP

N

Performance

E(π 2π 1|π 2>π 1)

P(π 2>π 1)

Marginal benefit

(0.1,0.9)

0.001

10

0.638

0.826

10

0.638

0.800

1

0

(0.1,0.8) or (0.2,0.9)

0.001

14

0.643

0.824

14

0.643

0.700

1

0

(0.1,0.7) or (0.3,0.9)

0.001

20

0.680

0.831

20

0.680

0.600

1

0

(0.2,0.8)

0.001

20

0.593

0.811

20

0.593

0.600

1

0

 

0.01

20

0.556

0.775

22

0.615

0.600

1

0.030

(0.1,0.6)or (0.4,0.9)

0.001

28

0.633

0.822

28

0.633

0.500

1

0

(0.2,0.7)or (0.3,0.8)

0.001

30

0.599

0.812

30

0.599

0.500

1

0

 

0.01

30

0.554

0.763

36

0.650

0.500

1

0.016

(0.1,0.5) or (0.5,0.9)

0.001

40

0.551

0.801

40

0.551

0.400

1

0

(0.2,0.6) or (0.4,0.8)

0.001

46

0.553

0.800

46

0.553

0.400

1

0

 

0.01

46

0.535

0.735

62

0.663

0.400

1

0.008

(0.3,0.7)

0.001

48

0.555

0.800

48

0.555

0.400

1

0

 

0.01

48

0.536

0.735

64

0.660

0.400

1

0.008

 

0.02

48

0.549

0.711

80

0.694

0.407

0.983

0.005

 

0.03

48

0.575

0.718

82

0.702

0.427

0.945

0.004

(0.1,0.4) or (0.6,0.9)

0.001

64

0.523

0.787

68

0.589

0.300

1

0.017

(0.2,0.5) or (0.5,0.8)

0.001

78

0.521

0.786

82

0.581

0.300

1

0.015

 

0.01

78

0.526

0.704

130

0.689

0.303

0.991

0.003

(0.3,0.6) or (0.4,0.7)

0.001

84

0.506

0.781

90

0.591

0.300

1

0.014

 

0.01

84

0.521

0.701

142

0.690

0.303

0.991

0.003

 

0.02

84

0.566

0.712

150

0.704

0.330

0.925

0.002

 

0.03

84

0.603

0.731

140

0.709

0.357

0.875

0.002

(0.1,0.3) or (0.7,0.9)

0.001

124

0.510

0.764

140

0.600

0.200

1

0.006

(0.2,0.4) or (0.6,0.8)

0.001

164

0.512

0.764

184

0.603

0.200

1

0.005

 

0.01

164

0.566

0.713

292

0.703

0.224

0.911

0.001

(0.3,0.5) or (0.5,0.7)

0.001

186

0.504

0.761

210

0.603

0.200

1

0.004

 

0.01

186

0.562

0.710

336

0.704

0.224

0.911

0.001

 

0.02

186

0.626

0.745

284

0.709

0.263

0.825

0.001

 

0.03

186

0.669

0.772

236

0.710

0.295

0.778

0.001

(0.4,0.6)

0.001

194

0.504

0.761

220

0.607

0.200

1

0.004

 

0.01

194

0.562

0.709

350

0.704

0.224

0.911

0.001

 

0.02

194

0.625

0.745

296

0.708

0.263

0.825

0.001

 

0.03

194

0.668

0.771

248

0.711

0.295

0.778

0.001

 

0.04

194

0.700

0.792

210

0.712

0.323

0.747

0.001

 

0.05

194

0.725

0.809

194

0.725

0.349

0.725

0