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Table 1 Simulated data from a randomised trial comparing two groups of 30, with no real difference.

From: Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading

Group A

Group B

Baseline

Final

Baseline

Final

Baseline

Final

Baseline

Final

2.6

2.7

9.7

11.7

6.0

5.9

11.0

11.2

5.5

5.0

9.8

9.6

7.3

6.8

11.1

12.3

6.5

6.1

10.3

10.3

7.6

6.2

11.2

11.1

7.5

8.7

10.6

10.4

7.6

7.8

11.2

12.0

7.9

9.3

11.0

11.0

8.2

7.8

11.4

11.2

8.0

9.4

11.2

10.8

8.7

9.5

11.5

10.9

8.2

9.1

11.3

11.5

8.9

9.9

11.8

11.2

8.3

7.9

11.5

11.6

9.0

10.6

11.8

13.8

8.4

8.1

11.6

11.8

9.0

11.7

11.9

12.6

8.6

9.2

12.0

12.1

9.4

9.8

11.9

13.2

8.7

9.7

12.4

13.4

9.8

9.9

12.3

10.3

8.7

10.4

12.4

15.8

10.5

10.2

12.5

11.3

9.0

7.4

12.5

13.8

10.5

11.2

12.8

13.1

9.2

9.7

12.7

12.5

10.9

11.5

13.0

14.4

9.4

9.4

14.9

16.5

10.9

12.5

13.2

13.3